Z-Man wrote: ↑Sun Feb 16, 2025 1:09 pm
1. Tax different goods differently. No tax on potatoes, noodles, flour, common vegetables. High tax on champagne and caviar. There is opportunity to promote healthy living there, too, by taxing processed foods high on sugar or fat higher. This will, of course, increase the administrative burden for retail.
2. A sufficiently high minimal wage.
3. Hey, while we're at it, basic universal income, financed by your new consumption tax.
I'd vote for any party that promises to implement all of that
My state has a sales tax, and food is exempt from that, so they already kind of have your first point built in, and I do think more processed foods are taxed, at least prepared food is taxed, and if you eat in a restaurant it's taxed slightly more.
The problem I have with a national level sales tax, is I think it will be the thing congress will go to raise time after time without trying to trim the government first, and eventually it will creep up and we will be taxed as high as Germany is. Apparently when factoring in all taxes, the typical household in US pays ~40% in taxes (note different states have different taxes, so some like Texas may be lower than this). whereas Germans pay around 57% of household income goes to taxes, and in the UK around 59%. (this includes VAT, property taxes and income taxes, social security taxes and sales tax) (see below how grok calculated this)
Higher minimum wage, I don't think will work, it will directly cause high inflation. I believe for the most part people have a choose as to how they want to work and spend their money, if a job is not paying well they can move to another, that shift will force the other company to raise wages and prices.
UBI, we will likely have to do something like that in the next 10 years, but right now I don't think it's needed.
Z-Man wrote: ↑Sun Feb 16, 2025 1:09 pm
Wait, do I get this right? You guys have to document everything, CALCULATE your taxes, then pay the IRS? And then maybe get audited and if they find anything wrong, you get into trouble?
Pretty much so, the IRS is a big mess, we have several tax brackets, so as you make more you get taxed more, and it is different for a single person and a married couple, so taking taxes out of pay if both people are working becomes a bit of a mess, Then there are incentives to have kids, which will effect taxes differently. Also if you invest and make dividends, some of those are taxed at ordinary income, same thing for selling stock shares, your gains also get taxed. which means it's really hard to figure out what rate they get taxed at until the end of the year.
The employer does take out taxes, based on a form you fill out, you can opt to put in more than your share, and there are even ways to make it less, as you add that you have children, so they can calculate it to be less. Some people use this extra as a form of savings, as they know they would blow the money if they got it, so the get it in a lump sum to buy something bigger. But the real fun is when you don't have enough taken out and at the end of the year you owe money, if you owe too much, or continually owe money, then they impose an extra fee on it. which has screwed me over a few times. I ended up realizing more on my investments, and usually all in the last quarter of the year, that my tax bill became very high.
Z-Man wrote: ↑Sun Feb 16, 2025 1:09 pm
Umm, yeah, it probably did not enter your bubble, but the things Canada and Mexico agreed to do in exchange for not getting those tariffs were mostly things they were doing already, or planning to do anyway. So this wasn't as big a win as you might think.
but having a tariff threat keeps them doing it
Lucifer wrote: ↑Sat Feb 15, 2025 4:24 am
You do realize that 5% inflation in a world where people are lucky to get 3% raises each year means we have less spending power year after year, right?
That is 5% on the goods we import or 10% in your example (and yes I know the full processes, I just wanted to make it a little simpler) That does not mean inflation will be 5 or 10% overall, there are still plenty of things made or produced in America that won't be as effected by the tariffs. and as monkey said noone will want to come here, so we won't have the government handing out money to undocumented illegal immigrants, causing for more of a demand driven inflation.
Lucifer wrote: ↑Sat Feb 15, 2025 4:24 am
You might think that 16 cents is irrelevant, but it just made buying whatever the item is significantly more difficult, because wages have been stagnant for 20 years. Average inflation has been around 3% while average wage increases have been around 1.5%.
I've been looking more and more into wage growth, it seams as you get closer to 6 figures, the rate of increase, typically does go down, So I am curious what this number is for just those making under 60k a year. I also question if it tracks those who shift jobs to take more pay.
Lucifer wrote: ↑Sat Feb 15, 2025 4:24 am
It was also proven that during the pandemic companies were deliberately raising prices above their cost increases just to be greedy. A few billionaire CEOs were caught on hot mics saying so (or leaked memos, or what-have-you). And your tariff plan only helps when these billionaire CEOs are a lot more altruistic than they actually are.
Maybe some, but a lot is demand driven, and low supply due to the government forcing shut-downs, or them just adjusting because they figured that they would likely have to retain after the shutdowns, so they wanted to stay ahead of that and capitalize while they could, I don't think a lot were that far out of line based on the supply shock we all saw as we went into the stores. supplies are 100% back (except eggs), but yet it's insurance that is still screwing us most in terms of inflation. (yes I read the CPI report monthly)
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Putting this down here, how Grok figured out those tax percentages
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Total UK Tax Burden (in GBP):
Income Tax + NICs + VAT + Council Tax + Other Indirect Taxes = £7,500 + £3,000 + £6,600 + £1,500 + £1,000 = £19,600.
Average Household Income: Approximately £33,000.
Total Tax Burden in GBP: £19,600.
Percentage of Income to Taxes: (£19,600 / £33,000) * 100 ≈ 59.4%.
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Total US Tax Burden (in USD):
Federal Income Tax + State Income Tax + Payroll Taxes + Sales Tax + Property Tax + Other = $8,700 + $2,500 + $4,590 + $4,200 + $3,000 + $500 = $23,490 per year.
Average Household Income: Approximately $60,000.
Total Tax Burden in USD: $23,490.
Percentage of Income to Taxes: ($23,490 / $60,000) * 100 ≈ 39.2%.
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Germany Estimated Total Tax Burden:
Income Tax: €45,000 * 0.25 = €11,250
Social Security (employee part): €45,000 * 0.1975 (half of 39.5%) = €8,887.50
VAT (on roughly 50% of income as spending): €22,500 * 0.19 = €4,275
Other Taxes: Let's estimate around 3% for simplicity, €1,350.
Total tax: €11,250 + €8,887.50 + €4,275 + €1,350 = €25,762.50.
Percentage of Income to Taxes: (€25,762.50 / €45,000) * 100 ≈ 57.2%.